fool comments on The Ellsberg paradox and money pumps - Less Wrong

10 Post author: fool 28 January 2012 05:34PM

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Comment author: fool 01 February 2012 01:15:05AM 0 points [-]

How do you choose the interval? I have not been able to see any method other than choosing something that sounds good

Heh. I'm the one being accused of huffing priors? :-)

Okay, granted, there are methods like maximum entropy for Bayesian priors that can be applied in some situations, and the Ellsberg urn is such a situation.

Yes, you are correct about the discontinuity in the derivative.

Comment author: Will_Sawin 01 February 2012 01:54:11AM 0 points [-]

Yes. Because you're huffing priors. Twice as much, in fact - we have to make up one number, you have to make up two.