endoself comments on The Ellsberg paradox and money pumps - Less Wrong

10 Post author: fool 28 January 2012 05:34PM

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Comment author: endoself 28 February 2012 06:47:20PM 0 points [-]

Eg. you have an objective prior in mind for the Ellsberg urn, presumably uniform over the 61 configurations, perhaps based on max entropy.

Well, that would correspond to a complete absence of knowledge that would favour any configuration over any other, but I do endorse this basic framework for prior selection.

So we could normally start the state variable at the "natural value" (virtual interval = 0 : and, yes, as it happens, this is also justified by symmetry in this case.)

Doesn't an interval of 0 just recover Bayesian inference?