jkaufman comments on Nonmindkilling open questions - Less Wrong

22 Post author: Yvain 23 March 2012 04:23PM

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Comment author: jkaufman 28 March 2012 12:21:56PM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure whether you and Yvain are using "open question" the same way here. I think Yvain is just using it to mean "we don't know either way", not in the "not figured out yet but we want a real solution" sense of open problem.

Comment author: faul_sname 28 March 2012 04:37:21PM 0 points [-]

Yes, but open problems that we won't come up with better answers than the answers already out there are not terribly useful to discuss.

Comment author: Alsadius 29 March 2012 06:40:56PM 0 points [-]

But the point is not to discuss them, it's to show people that they should not assert 100% probabilities.

Comment author: faul_sname 29 March 2012 07:44:50PM 0 points [-]

So what are the important questions that average (or somewhat-above-average) people will likely agree are complicated open questions where both sides have good points?

I don't really see sides here. It's more "the forecast says x%". So while reasonable people will admit to probability estimates other than 0 or 100%, that's because of the format the information is presented in.