I just read the following comment from Ben123:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/kd/pascals_mugging_tiny_probabilities_of_vast/6rzn
And it mentioned a chain of words I had not thought of before: "Multiplied by the reciprocal of the probability of this statement being true." At that point, I felt like I couldn't get much past "I notice I am confused." without feeling like I was making a math error. (And that it was possible the math error was in assuming the statement could be evaluated at all, which I wasn't sure of.)
In general, how should I assess that statement or others like it? Does it's recursion simply make it impossible to evaluate under some circumstances?
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, even in Discussion, it goes here.