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army1987 comments on Open Thread, August 1-15, 2012 - Less Wrong
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It has survived it so far, but for all we know it may be going to be extinct in 200 years.
The first such civilization surviving thus far still provides a large quantity of information. In particular, it makes us think the early stages of the filter are easier, and thus causes us to update our probability of future survival downward for both civilizations. In other words, hearing about another civilization makes us think it more likely that said civilization will go extinct soon.
Anyway, even if prase didn't mention the Great Filter in particular, given that he/she said “in any case, if possible, try to leave aside MWI, UDT, TDT, anthropics and AI”, I don't think he/she was interested in answers involving the Great Filter, either.
(Not sure this is the best way to say what I'm trying to say, but I hope you know what I mean anyway.)
You are right.