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Manfred comments on [Link] Social interventions gone wrong - Less Wrong
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6/8 - I thought 21st Century schools would improve behavior, and I thought Even Start would improve child literacy but not adult literacy. This is really more of a 5/7, though, since I already knew of DARE's ineffectiveness.
The Nurse-family partnership thing sounds like a big-government liberal dream program, so how could I not predict that it would greatly improve outcomes :P
The Nurse-family partnership sounds to me more like personalized care, which is a big deal in terms of effectiveness. It doesn't say it was run by the government, and it read to me like it was done by individual hospitals.
Oh, so it is. It's a major-foundation-funded charity, my bad.