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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on [link] Betting on bad futures - Less Wrong
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Robin Hanson kinda killed it here:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/ie/the_apocalypse_bet/ekw
Did Jones answer Hanson's objection? Rereading, it seems a bit knockdown, and past-EY's attempts to evade it seem like past-EY was updating too slowly, I shoulda just said "Oops."