TheOtherDave comments on Raising the forecasting waterline (part 1) - Less Wrong

32 Post author: Morendil 09 October 2012 03:49PM

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Comment author: TheOtherDave 10 October 2012 06:25:29PM 1 point [-]

Some questions are implicitly raised by a situation. "Is this coffee cup capable of holding coffee without spilling it?", for example. When I pour coffee into the cup, I am implicitly expressing more than 50% confidence that the answer is "yes".

Comment author: chaosmosis 10 October 2012 10:34:36PM 0 points [-]

What I'm saying is that what's implicit is a fact about you, not the situation, and the way the question is formed is partially determined by you. I was vague in saying so, however.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 10 October 2012 10:48:17PM 0 points [-]

I agree that the way the question is formed is partially determined by me. I agree that there's a relevant implicit fact about me. I disagree that there's no relevant implicit fact about the situation.

Comment author: chaosmosis 11 October 2012 02:54:41AM 0 points [-]

Nothing can be implicit without interpretation, sometimes the apparent implications of a situation are just misguided notions that we have inside our heads. You're going to have a natural tendency to form your questions in certain ways, and some of these ways will lead you to asking nonsensical questions, such as questions with contradictory expectations.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 11 October 2012 03:22:07AM 1 point [-]

I agree that the apparent implications of a situation are notions in our heads, and that sometimes those notions are nonsensical and/or contradictory and/or misguided.