Mitchell_Porter comments on Open Thread, February 1-14, 2013 - Less Wrong
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Since its inception in early 2009, has this community ever (1) changed its collective opinion on something (2) had a debate in which there were two sides and there was a clear victor?
(1) I am hesitant to describe this community as having collective opinions, and (2) do the Amanda Knox posts count?
The annual prediction threads, and the website PredictionBook (built by Trike Apps and heavily used by LWers), showcase a lot of arguments about empirical predictions that have been resolved.