shminux comments on "Stupid" questions thread - Less Wrong

40 Post author: gothgirl420666 13 July 2013 02:42AM

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Comment author: shminux 13 July 2013 05:07:43PM 7 points [-]

How do people construct priors?

They make stuff up, mostly, from what I see here. Some even pretend that "epsilon" is a valid prior.

Is it worth trying to figure out how to construct better priors?

Definitely. Gwern recommends the prediction book as a practice to measure and improve your calibration.