David_Chapman comments on Probability, knowledge, and meta-probability - Less Wrong
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Comments (71)
Yes, that's the point here!
By "the first bet" I take it that you mean "your first opportunity to put a coin in a green box" (rather than meaning "brown box").
My analysis of that was "you should put some coins in the box", exactly because of the information gain.
This post was based closely on the Chapter 18 of Jaynes' book, where he writes:
Do you think he's saying something different from me here?