army1987 comments on Open thread for December 17-23, 2013 - Less Wrong

5 Post author: ciphergoth 17 December 2013 08:45PM

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Comment author: [deleted] 29 December 2013 09:09:43PM *  -2 points [-]

Twin studies. (Though by that standard lots of things are relatively innate.)

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 30 December 2013 12:05:29AM *  4 points [-]

Relative to what? If "lots of things" are "relatively" something, your standards are probably too low.

Yes, twin studies give a simple upper bound to the genetic component of male homosexuality, but it is very low. As an exercise, you might try to name 10 things with a lower genetic contribution. But I think defining "innate" as "genetic" is a serious error, endemic in all discussions of human variety.

Added, months later: Cochran and Ewald suggest as a benchmark leprosy, generally considered an infection, not at all innate. Yet it has (MZ/DZ) twin concordance of 70/20. For something less exotic, TB is 50/20. That's higher than any reputable measure of the concordance of homosexuality. The best studies I know are surveys of twin registries: in Australia, there is a concordance of 40/10 for Kinsey 1+ and 20/0 for Kinsey 2+; in Sweden, 20/10 and 5/0.

Comment author: Emile 31 December 2013 11:52:12AM 1 point [-]

Since everybody in this subthread is talking about the numbers without mentioning them, from Wikipedia:

Biometric modeling revealed that, in men, genetic effects explained .34–.39 of the variance [of sexual orientation], the shared environment .00, and the individual-specific environment .61–.66 of the variance. Corresponding estimates among women were .18–.19 for genetic factors, .16–.17 for shared environmental, and .64–.66 for unique environmental factors.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 02 January 2014 11:17:55PM 3 points [-]

Numbers like ".34–.39" imply great precision. In fact, that is not a confidence interval, but two point estimates based on different definitions. The 95% confidence interval does not exclude 0 genetic contribution. I'm getting this from the paper, table 1, on page 3 (77), but I find implausible the transformation of that raw data into those conclusions.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 29 December 2013 09:46:04PM 0 points [-]

Ok, taboo "relatively innate". The common analogy used in the 'civil rights' arguments is to things like skin color. By that standard homosexuality is not innate.

Comment author: [deleted] 30 December 2013 10:45:47AM 0 points [-]

Ok, taboo "relatively innate".

I can't speak for Bayeslisk, but I'd say it means that things other than what happens to you after your birth have a non-negligible effect (by which standard your accent is hardly innate). But I agree it's not a terribly important distinction.

The common analogy used in the 'civil rights' arguments is to things like skin color. By that standard homosexuality is not innate.

I probably agree. (But of course it's a continuum, not two separate classes. Skin colour also depends by how long you sunbathe and how much carotene you eat, yadda yadda yadda.)