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advancedatheist comments on Futurism's Track Record - Less Wrong
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Why does this misconception persist? The inventor/science fiction writer Murray Leinster predicted networked home computers, a Google-like search engine, voice interfaces and an accidentally emerging AI in his well known story, "A Logic Named Joe," published in 1946:
http://www.baen.com/chapters/W200506/0743499107___2.htm
Did Leinster publish in academic journals and reasonably counts under a category like futurism? Or pulp sci-fi magazines and fiction?
Pulp sci-fi is closer to what I think of what I hear "futurism" than anything published in a reputable journal.
But so much pulp sci-fi was published, and in such variety, that one could find a plausible "fit" for pretty much any conceivable future invention.
Respectable predictions are even more common, though, so I'm not sure how meaningful either one can be.
It feels icky to claim that something was "predicted" by a fictional story that made no claim to being serious prediction, though.