Vaniver comments on Open thread, 24-30 March 2014 - Less Wrong
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Some factors pointing towards an increase: decreased emotional, health, and financial cost of commutes.
Some factors pointing towards a decrease: decreased cost and increased flexibility and convenience of car-sharing services, which work better in higher density locations.
I think the primary driver of urban sprawl is schooling (and thus home prices), not commuting. The growing acceptance of online schooling will likely decrease urban sprawl significantly.