asr comments on Open thread, 24-30 March 2014 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Metus 25 March 2014 07:42AM

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Comment author: asr 28 March 2014 05:32:42PM 1 point [-]

the implied prior

Which implied prior? My understanding is that the problem with Multiverse theories is that we don't have a way to assign probability measures to the different possible universes, and therefore we cannot formulate an unambiguous prior distribution.

Comment author: khafra 28 March 2014 06:12:40PM -1 points [-]

Well, I don't really math; but the way I understand it, computable universe theory suggests Solomonoff's Universal prior, while the ZFC-based mathematical universe theory--being a superset of the computable--suggests a larger prior; thus weirder anthropic expectations. Unless you need to be computable to be a conscious observer, in which case we're back to SI.

Comment author: VAuroch 28 March 2014 06:11:35PM -1 points [-]

The two usual implied prior taken from Level IV are a)that every possible universe is equally likely and b)that universe are likely in direct proportion to the simplicity of their description. Some attempts have been made to show that the second falls out of the first.