VincentYu comments on Open thread, 24-30 March 2014 - Less Wrong
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Comments (156)
This is correct.
This is not correct. You seem to be under the impression that
P(data | null hypothesis) + P(data | complement(null hypothesis)) = 1,
but this is not true because
More generally, most people (both frequentists and bayesians) would object to "accepting the hypothesis" based on rejecting the null, because rejecting the null means exactly what it says, and no more. You cannot conclude that an alternative hypothesis (such as the complement of the null) has higher likelihood or probability.