pcm comments on Open thread, 24-30 March 2014 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: Metus 25 March 2014 07:42AM

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Comment author: pcm 31 March 2014 04:06:15PM 1 point [-]

But it seems more useful to me to calculate P(hypothesis | data).

That may be true if you have little influence over what data is available.

Frequentists are mainly interested in situations where they can create experiments that cause P(hypothesis) to approach 0 or 1. The p-value is intended to be good at deciding whether the hypothesis has been adequately tested, not at deciding whether to believe the hypothesis given crappy data.