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Gray_Area comments on The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence - Less Wrong

39 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 16 October 2007 03:57AM

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Comment author: Gray_Area 16 October 2007 08:14:55AM 1 point [-]

Apparently what works fairly well in Go is to evaluate positions based on 'randomly' running lots games to completion (in other words you evaluate a position as 'good' if in lots of random games which start from this position you win). Random sampling of the future can work in some domains. I wonder if this method is applicable to answering specific questions about the future (though naturally I don't think science fiction novels are a good sampling method).

Comment author: DanielLC 15 November 2010 04:36:53AM 9 points [-]

We'd have to be able to randomly run reality to completion several times.

Comment author: PetjaY 29 December 2014 05:59:12PM 1 point [-]

Universe seems to be doing that, only problem is that instead of us getting results we are only part of them.