Alejandro1 comments on 2014 Less Wrong Census/Survey - Call For Critiques/Questions - Less Wrong

18 Post author: Yvain 11 October 2014 06:39AM

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Comment author: Alejandro1 11 October 2014 02:10:29PM 0 points [-]

Is the "Birth Month" bonus question just to sort people arbitrarily into groups to do statistics, or to find correlations between birth month and other traits? If the latter, since the causal mechanism is almost certainly seasonal weather, the question should ask directly for seasonal weather at birth to avoid South Hemisphere confounders.

Comment author: DataPacRat 11 October 2014 02:19:20PM 5 points [-]

I have no idea what the seasonal weather was like when I was born - but I know which hemisphere it happened in.

Comment author: [deleted] 11 October 2014 04:57:56PM 4 points [-]

the causal mechanism is almost certainly seasonal weather

Not the only possible one. If Alice was born in January and Bob was born in December, she will be 11 months older than him when they start going to school (and their classmates will be in average 5.5 months younger than her and 5.5 months older than him), which I hear can make a difference.

avoid South Hemisphere confounders

The survey already asks for country. Sure, some people will have been born and grown up in a country in a hemisphere other than that they “most identify with” today, but they'll probably be a small enough minority that they wouldn't screw up the statistics too much.

Comment author: Alejandro1 11 October 2014 06:07:56PM 2 points [-]

If Alice was born in January and Bob was born in December, she will be 11 months older than him when they start going to school (and their classmates will be in average 5.5 months younger than her and 5.5 months older than him), which I hear can make a difference.

I think this way of sorting classes by calendar year of birth might also be six months shifted in different hemispheres (or perhaps vary with country in more capricious ways). IIRC, in Argentina my classes had people born from one July to the following June, not from one January to the following December.

Comment author: VAuroch 11 October 2014 09:14:42PM 0 points [-]

In Massachusetts, USA, the classes of people were from one September to the following August, being based on the day classes started.