knb comments on Open thread, Mar. 16 - Mar. 22, 2015 - Less Wrong

6 Post author: MrMind 16 March 2015 08:13AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (302)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: knb 19 March 2015 10:27:06PM 1 point [-]

"The historical S&P500 returns were X% so by golly that's what we should expect decades into the future!" /facepalm

Do you think it's going to be higher or lower than the historical average? Why?