ChristianKl comments on Open Thread, May 18 - May 24, 2015 - Less Wrong

4 Post author: Gondolinian 18 May 2015 12:01AM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 18 May 2015 05:17:18PM *  2 points [-]

According to the official story Pakistan didn't know about Osama Bin Ladin's location at the time of his death.

What your credence that the official story is true about that claim? (answer as probability between 0 and 1)

Submitting...

Comment author: James_Miller 18 May 2015 05:27:41PM *  13 points [-]

Define Pakistan.

Comment author: ChristianKl 18 May 2015 05:39:51PM 4 points [-]

At least one of Ashfaq Parvez Kayani (chief of military), Ahmad Shuja Pasha (directior of ISI) and Asif Ali Zardari (Pakistani president) knew about it.

Comment author: ike 18 May 2015 06:34:36PM 2 points [-]

According to the official story Pakistan didn't know about Osama Bin Ladin's location at the time of his death.

Isn't the official story that the US didn't know that Pakistan knew? As in, it's both possible that Pakistan knew/ didn't know, but the US didn't know one way or another.

I'm assuming you're talking about the US's official story.

Comment author: ChristianKl 18 May 2015 06:47:56PM 2 points [-]

Googling a bit it seems that various people do say different things about the likelihood of Pakistan knowing. If I would formulate the question again I might drop the word official and ask directly for whether Pakistan knew.

I think this question is still okay in this form because it asks directly for whether the respondent of the poll believes Pakistan to have known.

Comment author: bogus 18 May 2015 07:43:56PM *  1 point [-]

Pakistan didn't know about Osama Bin Ladin's location at the time of his death.

Given the location where OBL was eventually found, this "official story" is not plausible in the least, and everyone knows that. The only reason for its existence is nobody wants to 'officially' admit that Pakistan was running a _scam_ on the U.S. by asking for $$$ "to help search for Bin Ladin", and the U.S. government fell for it for quite a while.

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