MattG comments on Open thread, Oct. 12 - Oct. 18, 2015 - Less Wrong
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That's one explanation, the other being "intelligent life is harder than it sounds" and another being "any life is harder than it sounds".
Both of those fall under "are we the first? Really?", or the related hypothesis that we're shortly after the first. Or did you mean to respond to NancyLebovitz?
Sorry, that was meant to be a response to Nancy Lebovitz.