Romashka comments on Open thread, Feb. 01 - Feb. 07, 2016 - Less Wrong

3 Post author: MrMind 01 February 2016 08:24AM

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Comment author: Romashka 01 February 2016 07:56:24PM 2 points [-]

Are there any exercises similar to calibration questions where people are 1) asked a question and 2) given some info relevant for the answer, and then required to state how the info influenced the changes in the probabilities they state? I mean, if a brain 'does something similar to a Bayesian calculation', then it should be measurable, and maybe trainable even in 'vaguely stated' word-only problems. And if it is easier to do in some domains, it would be interesting why.

Comment author: RomeoStevens 03 February 2016 01:55:01AM 1 point [-]

fermi estimates and generating inside view models before constructing an outside view one to compare the results both are kind of in this direction I think.