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ChristianKl comments on Open Thread, Feb 8 - Feb 15, 2016 - Less Wrong
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Comments (215)
Why do you think they are in similar distance in the future? If you take the LW median of a likely arrival of the intelligence explosion that's later than when most people are going to retire.
If you look at the general population most people consider the intelligence explosion even less likely.
It's later, but, unless I am mistaken, the arrival of the intelligence explosion isn't that much later than when most people will retire, so I don't think that fully explains it.
I think it's often double. Retiring in 40 years and expecting the intelligence explosion in 80 years.
That sounds about right.