LWers who bother to speak on the matter predict with high confidence a Republican win
A few examples? I've seen references to betting market odds, but nobody predicting any outcome with anywhere near high confidence (say, 70%+). Maybe I'm just not invited to those threads :)
Yesterday at our LW Berlin Dojo we talked about areas where we disagree. We got 4 issues:
1) AI risk is important
2) Everybody should be vegan.
3) It's good to make being an aspiring rationalist part of your identity.
4) Being conscious of privacy is important
Can you think of other meaningful issues where you think our community disagrees? At best issues that actually matter for our day to day decisions?