Consider
From what I understand, technological progress happens exponentially.
vs.
Technological progress happens exponentially.
The difference is the "from what I understand" part. Other examples of such qualifiers include:
- It seems to me
- My impression is that
- I could be wrong, but
- Perhaps
- Probably
Using such qualifiers may be annoying. It is probably easier and quicker to just skip them. It also might add "fluff" and distract from the main point.
On the other hand, I worry that omitting them would lead to overconfidence. If you say "X is true" enough times instead of "It seems to me that X is true; I'm pretty confident but not super confident", it seems likely that you'd develop a nontrivial overconfidence in X.
Of course, the answer to "Should we use qualifiers in speech?" is almost certainly, "It depends". But despite that, it still seems like it'd be pretty useful to figure out what the "default" or "your go-to" should be.
Personally I lean pretty strongly towards using them when doing intellectual things, like here on LessWrong. But in everyday life I lean towards avoiding them, because it goes against norms, is a little awkward, and doesn't have nearly as big a benefit as when you're doing intellectual things.
I use a lot of qualifiers in speech and in writing. I find that, in both informal and professional contexts, most people don't even notice them and interpret my sentences as if they weren't there. It regularly trips me up when people come be to me and say, "You said X, and now you're saying/doing Y!" and I say, "Well, no, actually I said [Qualifier]+X, and [evidence Z that we later encountered that led me to Y] is exactly the kind of reason why I didn't just say X." Sometimes even me saying "X, unless Z, then Y," isn't helpful, people just hear X anyway, and may try to hold me to X later.
So, my take is that the benefit of qualifiers is dependent on the audience you're talking too, and how well they understand why you're using them. I use them anyway because it's important to me to not pretend more confidence than I have, but also because I'm a perfectionists who sometimes twists his words with qualifiers so I won't later find out I was wrong and can rationalize it away. I'm working on that, but it's slow going.
If I (correctly) expect to be misunderstood, then the precision is only in my head and not actually facilitating communication. It can still be useful, if it's recorded and I can call it back up later for some purpose, but otherwise it doesn't help me or whoever I'm talking to. At worst, it ironically brushes up against knowingly misleading people.