Thank you For Your Participation
I would like to thank you all for your unwitting and unwilling participation in my little social experiment. If I do say so myself you all performed as I had hoped. I found some of the responses interesting, many them are goofy. I was honestly hoping that a budding rationalist community like this one would have stopped this experiment midway but I thank you all for not being that rational. I really did appreciate all the mormon2 bashing it was quite amusing and some of the attempts to discredit me were humorous though unsuccessful. In terms of the questions I asked I was curious about the answers though I did not expect to get any nor do I really need them; since I have a good idea of what the answers are just from simple deductive reasoning. I really do hope EY is working on FAI and actually is able to do it though I certainly will not stake my hopes or money on it.
Less there be any suspicion I am being sincere here.
Response
Because I can I am going to make one final response to this thread I started:
Since none of you understand what I am doing I will spell it out for you. My posts are formatted, written and styled intentionally for the response I desire. The point is to give you guys easy ways to avoid answering my questions (things like tone of the post, spelling, grammar, being "hostile (not really)" etc.). I just wanted to see if anyone here could actually look past that, specifically EY, and post some honest answers to the questions (real answers again from EY not pawns on LW). Obviously this was to much to ask, since the general responses, not completely, but for the most part were copouts. I am well aware that EY probably would never answer any challenge to what he thinks, people like EY typically won't (I have dealt with many people like EY). I think the responses here speak volumes about LW and the people who post here (If you can't look past the way the content is posted then you are going to have a hard time in life since not everyone is going to meet your standards for how they speak or write). You guys may not be trying to form a cult but the way you respond to a post like this screams cultish and even a some circle-jerk mentality mixed in there.
Post
I would like to float an argument and a series of questions. Now before you guys vote me down please do me the curtsey of reading the post. I am also aware that some and maybe even many of you think that I am a troll just out to bash SIAI and Eliezer, that is in fact not my intent. This group is supposed to be about improving rationality so lets improve our rationality.
SIAI has the goal of raising awareness of the dangers of AI as well as trying to create their own FAI solution to the problem. This task has fallen to Eliezer as the paid researcher working on FAI. What I would like to point out is a bit of a disconnect between what SIAI is supposed to be doing and what EY is doing.
According to EY FAI is an extremely important problem that must be solved with global implications. It is both a hard math problem and a problem that needs to be solved by people who take FAI seriously first. To that end SIAI was started with EY as an AI researcher at SIAI.
Until about 2006 EY was working on papers like CEV and working on designs for FAI which he has now discarded as being wrong for the most part. He then went on a long period of blogging on Overcoming Bias and LessWrong and is now working on a book on rationality as his stated main focus. If this be accurate I would ask how does this make sense from someone who has made such a big deal about FAI, its importance, being first to make AI and ensure it is FAI? If FAI is so important then where does a book on rationality fit? Does that even play into SIAI's chief goals? SIAI spends huge amounts of time talking about risks and rewards of FAI and the person who is supposed to be making the FAI is writing a book on rationality instead of solving FAI. How does this square with being paid to research FAI? How can one justify EY's reasons for not publishing the math of TDT, coming from someone who is committed to FAI? If one is committed to solving that hard of a problem then I would think that the publication of ones ideas on it would be a primary goal to advance the cause of FAI.
If this doesn't make sense then I would ask how rational is it to spend time helping SIAI if they are not focused on FAI? Can one justify giving to an organization like that when the chief FAI researcher is distracted by writing a book on rationality instead of solving the myriad of hard math problems that need to be solved for FAI? If this somehow makes sense then can one also state that FAI is not nearly as important as it has been made out to be since the champion of FAI feels comfortable with taking a break from solving the problem to write a book on rationality (in other words the world really isn't at stake)?
Am I off base? If this group is devoted to rationality then everyone should be subjected to rational analysis.
Of the two definitions for rationality, I was going for e-rationality. It can certainly be i-rational to take social implications of a question into account to such a degree that one won't even consider it by fear of consequences. Simply deciding that evolution must be false since the social consequences of believing otherwise would be too unpleasant, for instance. Or you could admit, in the safety of your head, that evolution must be true, but hide this belief because you know what the consequences were. That might be rational both ways. But it is always a failure of e-rationality to refuse to consider a valid question because of social consequences. In the case of communities and not individuals, "to consider" means discussion within the community.
"Taking into account the social consequences" is fine in theory, but it's an easy path towards rationalizing away every argument from every person you don't like. I would be a bit more understanding if the poster in question would have been really abrasive and heaped scorn upon scorn in the opening post. I do agree that the one comment of his that got really voted down was over the line and possibly deserved it. (-8 is a bit overkill, though.) But the opening post was, if not exactly polite, not any harsher than critique in general is. Even if a person has a history of being slightly abrasive, by the very least he merits a hearing when he does compose a non-abrasive criticism. Especially so since there is, in my experience, a certain correlation between (real or perceived) abrasiveness and a resistance to groupthink - either because the person in question just happens to care little for social norms, or because their brain is atypically wired, giving them both weak social skills and a tendency not to fall victim to groupthink.
I never said anything about needing to answer any question. But here we have a situation were people are basically saying that the question is good and valid, but they don't like the person who asked it, so in order to slight him there won't be any discussion of it this time around. That's a different story.
And sure, certainly nobody is required to justify their professional goals to anyone who isn't paying their wage. That doesn't necessarily mean it's a good idea to refuse to justify those goals if the question is a good one. I am a SIAI donor, not sure of the exact amount but I think I've donated something in the region of $1500 so far. The feeling that SIAI doesn't really seem to be accomplishing much caused several moments in the past when I've reconsidered whether I should donate or if my money would do more good elsewhere. Recently that worry has abated, but more because of SIAI folks other than Eliezer doing things. If I came across SIAI now and wasn't a donor yet, I can't imagine anything that'd throw up a bigger red flag than a refusal to answer the question "how can I know my money is actually helping the cause you're claiming to advance".
(Tangential, but since we got on the topic... even now, the lack of reporting of what SIAI people actually do remains one of my greatest annoyances with the organization. Anna Salamon posted a great report - as a comment in a discussion thread most potential SIAI donors will never read. My request to have it reposted on the SIAI blog was ignored. This is not the way to attract more donors, people. Not necessarily even the way to keep old ones.)
I do mention SIAI and what we're up to on my blog, which has about 3K readers, about every other day for several months. It may not be an "official" SIAI news source, but many people read it and gain knowledge about SIAI via that route.