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philh comments on Open thread, Mar. 9 - Mar. 15, 2015 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (109)
http://lesswrong.com/lw/hpe/how_should_eliezer_and_nicks_extra_20_be_split/ ?
edit: no, I don't think that's it. I think I do remember the post you're talking about, and I thought it included this anecdote, but this isn't the one I was thinking of.
edit 2: http://lesswrong.com/lw/jgv/even_odds/ is the one I was thinking of.
Great—thanks! (Thanks to badger below too)