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gwern comments on [LINK] Amanda Knox exonerated - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: fortyeridania 28 March 2015 06:15AM

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Tags: evidence bias prediction italy court jury trial knox amanda

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Comment author: gwern 28 March 2015 10:41:45PM 1 point [-]

No, male-like murder levels would be higher than genderless murder levels.

...and what do you think that implies about whether female murder levels are lower as I claimed?

And, if I understand correctly, most of the excess male murder rate involves gang-related violence, which in this case was pretty clearly not involved.

Yeah, no. Think about that a little bit. (Also, please note the irony of responding to criticism about not conditioning by claiming it would be neutralized by further conditioning.)

Comment author: V_V 29 March 2015 09:48:12AM 0 points [-]

(Also, please note the irony of responding to criticism about not conditioning by claiming it would be neutralized by further conditioning.)

If the updates on different kinds of evidence would likely cancel each other, it is an argument for avoiding conditioning too hard or privileging one kind of evidence while doing informal reasoning.

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