Want to tell the future? Ask an PhD, unemployed, media-experienced, female, high-self-rated-relevance-of-expertise, right wing, realist, optimist, cognitively-foxy, extremist with integratively complex thought protocols, according to the evidence in Tetlock's Expert Political Judgement book exerpts tables for: 'individual difference predictors of calibration of subjective probability forecasts, and variable loadings in rotated factor matrix from maximum likelihood factors analysis (quartimin rototation) of belief systems item' >wtf does that mean?<

Finally tried some of those invitations: 'Would you like to kiss me' got a diplomatic response, which I followed up by stating: I would like to kiss you, to which she said: 'then do it', and we did. I have yet to try the permission soliciting way: May/can I kiss you, or the command way: Kiss me or 'I'm going to kiss you'. I can't use the same girl twice because it's about initiatory kisses, a behavioural experiment about rejection :)

Blah, remember that non-effectiveness oriented grant opportunity I mentioned a while ago? Looks like they cap grants at 10k, which isn’t much to work with. Not worth it, just like that superficially attractive funding they give to student groups that are ridiculously easy to start...

What if anything (other than self-limitation) is stopping prison chaplains acting as message mules from organised crime prisoners to their network and subordinates outside of prison? Prison chaplains are frequently volunteers so they could get money that way.

Unilodge is bad for renters but good for business. Holy shit, really bad for renters.

Inspired by this and reports about gender dysphoria, Is there a evidence-based case for plastic surgery as a mental health intervention (irrespective of whether gender dyphoria relevant, or even just general psychological wellbeing)?

Chaplains humanize the dehumanized. I'm motivated for chaplaincy by dehumanizing experiences as a child. I think chaplaincy for children, outside of their immediate family, or structured, brief, formal places like schools which they may be too unempowered to navigate to their school's chaplain themselves, are the next step in chaplaincy. However, there's an inherent tension between that utility, and the tendency for clergy to abuse, thereby dehumanising children themselves!

Procrastination doesn't seem so bad anmore. Is there still room for the pareto principle and doing the 'most important thing' first?

On the Gumtree site, at least in Melbourne, many properties have rentals available for far below market price (usually $0) for single females. The ulterior motives are obvious. However, by law, tenants are forbidden from denying their tenants or subtenants their own sub-tenants, but they must be notified in advance. So, a very lucrative option for single females could be to lease these undervalued properties under contract, then sublet lawfully (without sex discrimination...) for a tidy profit. They don't even have to stick around the creep original lessor.

The night before last night I watched netflix with cute girl on her bed but I don't even know how I was meant to go from there to 'netflix and chill' :( But then last night we hung out then she put her arm around me in a friendly way, then I reciprocrated and puled her closer, and it just got more touchy from there (but not sexual touchy) till we ended up holding hands to leave that romantic place by the river :) Still not sure if I could have kissed her then, but definately trying it tonight when I see her again. Finally coming out of my shell!

How about cryodocumentation parties for cryoprocrastinators where people get encouragement to complete their cryonics documentation in a fun environment? Longencity advertisements and you’ll have yourself a world of productivity. The one cryonics services company that does documentation for you charges over $800 for it! So, you might even make a tidy profit.

Today I asked myself ‘Should I keep a 'got done' things list to complement old calendar items and have a record of minor achievements to reference and optimise processes? I later concluded that my email messages to self will be a useful archive of tasks, don’t need a separate list.

motorcycles are 7 times more deadly than cars. No thanks.

Do you think 'Severitas' is virtuous? Do you cultivate it yourself?

A guy ('AP') said this on fb recently and I thought it was clever! 'Half of the females at the church I am familiar with read books on child rearing. These females are unmarried and have no suitors. That is all I am going to say about the matter. So many stereotypes could be fulfilled but I am not going to go there.'. That's the calibre of wit I expect from the top tiers of famous people I can quote without awkwardly referencing my personal facebook feed. I can think of about 5 stereotypes here. It's funny, because generating hypotheses with the prompt of 'stereotypes' seems to make it easier, but you know...more stereotypical rather than a mutually exclusive comprehensively exhaustive (MECE) set of hypotheses.