Open thread, June 26 - July 2, 2017

Thomas

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If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.

Notes for future OT posters:

1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.

2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.)

3. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday.

4. Unflag the two options "Notify me of new top level comments on this article" and "Make this post available under..." before submitting

I think there are close to zero humans who make this tradeoff. Scope insensitivity hits too hard.

The first question, though, is "compared to what?" If I reject the deal, what's the chance intelligence will attain utopia at some point, and what's the chance of extinction? The second question is "why should I believe this offer?"

Whereas I would take it at 50/50. Scope insensitivity looks to me like it would hit both sides (both are all humanity forever), and so it is not clear which side it favors.

4cousin_it9y

Compared to the current status quo, which we don't understand fully. The question isn't supposed to be easy, it ties into a lot of things. You are supposed to believe the offer though.