Morendil comments on Raising the forecasting waterline (part 1) - LessWrong

32 Post author: Morendil 09 October 2012 03:49PM

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Comment author: Morendil 11 October 2012 08:07:43AM 0 points [-]

So I'm interested in forecasting. It's an important skill. I'm going on about it because I want to be good, smart, well-calibrated, about what matters to me.

Well, to start with: what evidence do you have at the moment about how well calibrated you are?