Epistemology

Assorted Projects 

• Calibration – see how justified your own confidence is
• Pastcasting – forecasting past results so you get instant feedback
• Historical Base rates - much thinking requires knowing roughly how often things have happened in the past. CF Our World In Data
• Prizes for summarization (by Nonlinear) – making it easier to get a basic understanding on EA/LessWrong topics
• Displaying estimates – the Squiggle team seem focused on the first step of this

• Calibration – see how justified your own confidence is
• Pastcasting -– forecasting past results so you get instant feedback
• Calibration - see how justified your own confidence is
• Historical Base rates - much thinking requires knowing roughly how often things have happened in the past. CF Our World In Data
• Prizes for summarization (by Nonlinear) -– making it easier to get a basic understanding on EA/LessWrong topics
• Displaying estimates – the Squiggle team seem focused on the first step of this

• Pastcasting - forecasting past results so you get instant feedback
• Calibration - see how justified your own confidence is
• Historical Base rates - much thinking requires knowing roughly how often things have happened in the past
  • past. CF Our World In Data
• Prizes for summarization (by Nonlinear) - making it easier to get a basic understanding on EA/LessWrong topics
• Displaying estimates – the Squiggle team seem focused on the first step of this

Assorted Projects to help people improve their epistemics and individuals to contact: 

• Pastcasting - forecasting past results so you get instant feedback
  • https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org/pastcastingCalibration
• Calibration - see how justified your own confidence is
  • https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org/calibration
• Historical Base rates - much thinking requires knowing roughly how often things have happened in the past
  • Seems like Our World In Data might do some work here
  • There is at least one other effort
• Increasing summarisationPrizes for summarization (by Nonlinear) - making it easier to get a basic understanding on EA/LessWrong topics
  • Nonlinear offer a range of prizes for summaries of such works
    • Nathan Young

Potential projects:

• Displaying estimates
  • The – the Squiggle team seem focused on the first step of this
    • Ozzie Gooen
  • Nathan Young is interested in it
•  

Note:

• It is hard to build epistemic infrastructure among rationalists, because anyone who is capable of doing it can work on AI safety and most do