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tailcalled
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Linear Diffusion of Sparse Lognormals: Causal Inference Against Scientism
tailcalled's Shortform
tailcalled2d20

Are you really gone claim that this is not a good post:

Thesis: Intellectuals are naturally attracted to poop because it is causally downstream of everything and so ends up having unusually high mutual information with everything, despite not causally influencing much (compared to e.g. food).

?

Reply1
Against Infrabayesianism
tailcalled2d20

Trying to obtain worst-case regret bounds.

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tailcalled's Shortform
tailcalled3d22

Users of LessWrong, then

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tailcalled's Shortform
[+]tailcalled3d-6-4
I'm scared.
tailcalled5d20

I did well by taking care of myself and trying to help things progress.

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Problematic Professors
tailcalled7d20

Issue with judging the practitioners is that practicing it may be correlated with other things that are much more harmful. Like all the talk about how single parenthood is supposedly bad for you, but then it doesn't hold up to more careful scrutiny afaik.

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tailcalled's Shortform
tailcalled11d-4-9

Autism is caused by not having access to those markets.

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tailcalled's Shortform
[+]tailcalled11d-12-26
tailcalled's Shortform
[+]tailcalled13d-140
Lurking in the Noise
tailcalled13d814

Pathogenic bacteria aren't actually optimized to kill you, because they need to exploit you. The pathogenic element occurs in order to get you to spread the bacterion to other hosts.

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6tailcalled's Shortform
4y
272
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-24Against Infrabayesianism
4d
2
31Knocking Down My AI Optimist Strawman
5mo
3
13My Mental Model of AI Optimist Opinions
5mo
7
23Evolution's selection target depends on your weighting
8mo
22
43Empathy/Systemizing Quotient is a poor/biased model for the autism/sex link
8mo
0
12Binary encoding as a simple explicit construction for superposition
9mo
0
11Rationalist Gnosticism
9mo
10
32RLHF is the worst possible thing done when facing the alignment problem
10mo
10
10Does life actually locally *increase* entropy?
Q
10mo
Q
27
21Why I'm bearish on mechanistic interpretability: the shards are not in the network
10mo
40
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