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Yesterday we released AI 2040: Plan A, but there's lots of work left to do. We still have tons of uncertainty about the future of AI and the best strategies for how humanity can successfully chart a path through the intelligence explosion. You can read much of our current thinking...
For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been sinking most of our time into our next big scenario. Now it’s done! It’s called AI 2040: Plan A. It’s called Plan A because it’s a recommendation, not a prediction. It’s what we think should happen, not what...
In 2021 I wrote what became my most popular blog post: What 2026 Looks Like. I intended to keep writing predictions all the way to AGI and beyond, but chickened out and just published up till 2026. Well, it's finally time. I'm back, and this time I have a team...
The Long-Term Future Fund has an AMA up on the Effective Altruism Forum. There’s no real deadline for questions, but let’s say we have a soft commitment to focus on questions asked on or before September 8th. I'd prefer centralizing the questions to one place. If you don't want to...
Summary * The Center for AI Policy is a new organization developing and advocating for policy to mitigate catastrophic AI risks. * We are hiring for a Government Affairs Director and a Communications Director. We’re also open to other roles. The deadline to apply is October 30th, 2023. About Us...
(Cross-posted from the EA Forum.) Introduction This payout report is meant to cover the Long-Term Future Fund's grantmaking starting January 2022 (after our December 2021 payout report), going through April 2023 (1 January 2022 - 30 April 2023). * Total funding recommended: $13.0M * Total funding paid out: $12.16M *...
This is a relatively clean subproblem that we came upon a few months ago while thinking about gradient hacking. We're throwing it out to the world to see if anyone can make progress. Problem: Construct a gradient hacker (definition below), or prove that one cannot exist under the given conditions....