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Eric Neyman
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I work at the Alignment Research Center (ARC). I write a blog on stuff I'm interested in (such as math, philosophy, puzzles, statistics, and elections): https://ericneyman.wordpress.com/
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[Posting this on behalf of someone I trust who wants to stay anonymous.] California SB 53 and the New York RAISE Act are the only laws in the US designed to protect against catastrophic risk from frontier AI systems. With the federal government failing to act on this area, these...
In 2025, the Alignment Research Center (ARC) has been making conceptual and theoretical progress at the fastest pace that I've seen since I first interned in 2022. Most of this progress has come about because of a re-orientation around a more specific goal: outperforming random sampling when it comes to...
Written in my personal capacity. Thanks to many people for conversations and comments. Written in less than 24 hours; sorry for any sloppiness. [Link to donate here -- please use this link rather than going to his website -- but please read at least the first few paragraphs.] It’s an...
Written in my personal capacity. The views expressed here are my own. Thanks to Zach Stein-Perlman, Jesse Richardson, and many others for comments. [Link to donate here -- please use this link rather than going to his website -- but please read at least the first few paragraphs.] Over the...
I wrote this in January 2024 as a memo for the 2024 Summit on Existential Security. Will MacAskill suggested in conversation that I post it publicly, so here it is (modulo minor revisions)! Thanks to Will MacAskill, Ben Hilton, and Lionel Levine for comments. Suppose we get an aligned superintelligence...
Thanks to Jesse Richardson for discussion. Polymarket asks: will Jesus Christ return in 2025? In the three days since the market opened, traders have wagered over $100,000 on this question. The market traded as high as 5%, and is now stably trading at 3%. Right now, if you wanted to,...
This post presents a conjecture formulated at the Alignment Research Center in 2023. Our belief in the conjecture is at least partly load-bearing for our belief in ARC's overall agenda. We haven't directly worked on the conjecture for a while now, but we believe the conjecture is interesting in its...