Seems to me that another generalization here is "the universe does not care about your good intentions."
Which can be taken in a Lovecraft direction — blind uncaring universe — but also in a Dennett direction — caring about other people's intentions is one of those adaptations that make persons different from the rest of the universe's matter.
I agree. Eliezer definitely explores the Lovecraftian version of the generalization, and the Dennett version is sort of an ongoing theme in some of his other posts.
Gambling rings do sometimes buy up large chunks of lottery tickets, I am not sure about hedge funds but I wouldn't be surprised.
ah, someone did point that out, at the end.
Today's post, Burch's Law, was originally published on 08 March 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
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