I'm struggling to understand anything technical on this website. I've enjoyed reading the sequences, and they have given me a lot to thing about. Still, I've read the introduction to Bayes theorem multiple times, and I simply can't grasp it. Even starting at the very beginning of the sequences I quickly get lost because there are references to programming and cognitive science which I simply do not understand.
Thinking about it, I realized that this might be a common concern. There are probably plenty of people who've looked at various more-or-less technical or jargony Less Wrong posts, tried understanding them, and then given up (without posting a comment explaining their confusion).
So I figured that it might be good to have a thread where you can ask for explanations for any Less Wrong post that you didn't understand and would like to, but don't want to directly comment on for any reason (e.g. because you're feeling embarassed, because the post is too old to attract much traffic, etc.). In the spirit of various Stupid Questions threads, you're explicitly encouraged to ask even for the kinds of explanations that you feel you "should" get even yourself, or where you feel like you could get it if you just put in the effort (but then never did).
You can ask to have some specific confusing term or analogy explained, or to get the main content of a post briefly summarized in plain English and without jargon, or anything else. (Of course, there are some posts that simply cannot be explained in non-technical terms, such as the ones in the Quantum Mechanics sequence.) And of course, you're encouraged to provide explanations to others!
Ah, I see. It seems to me that all those examples are like my example (2), where someone has free will but is not presently exercising it (however much it may appear that they are). I agree that, on the face of it, those all seem to me to be examples of not exercising free will. One could be in those situations while having free will all the same. I could, for example, watch my arm punch someone, and yet be freely writing a note to my mother with the other arm.
I am unclear about the difference between not having and not exercising free will. Are you saying that going with the default choice (whatever it might mean) is not exercising free will? Or the inability to see choices is not exercising free will? Or seeing choices and wanting to choose but being unable to do so is "not exercising"?