I didn’t read http://www.probabilityandfinance.com/ but I heard (maybe Vanessa Kosoy was saying this?) that it has a lot of ideas that people around here would attribute to logical induction.
While I’m here, I’ll echo several other commenters in pushing back against the insinuation that reinventing ideas is a sign of something going wrong. There are only so many hours in a day, and they trade off between
- (A) “try to understand the work / ideas of previous thinkers” and
- (B) “just sit down and try to figure out the right answer”.
It’s nuts to assert that the “correct” tradeoff is to do (A) until there is absolutely no (A) left to possibly do, and only then do you earn the right to start in on (B). People should do (A) and (B) in whatever ratio they expect to be most effective for figuring out the right answer. I often do (B), and I assume that I’m probably reinventing a wheel, but it’s not worth my time to go digging for it. And then maybe someone shares relevant prior work in the comments section. That’s awesome! Much appreciated! And nothing went wrong anywhere in this process! See also here.
Confounders - This post took some vivid examples and turned them into solid recommendations, even referring to the concept that already exists outside the post. But it mints new laws where none are needed, not really addressing other things that contribute to the internal validity of experiments or the inferences from full programs of research that might counteract the call to measure every single thing you possibly can; in my estimation, it led to a minor weakness in the post. It's not an egregious reinvention because it has the intellectual humility to interact with previous scholarship, one cannot expect any individual post to cover all the pieces of what can be a broad domain, and the point seemed to be more of presenting preferred operating procedures rather than (re)introducing a concept.
Also pretty confident John knows about confounders. You may think he should have connected the idea with the wikipedia page, but he has probably taken a statistics class.