Thagard (2012) contains a nicely compact passage on thought experiments:
Grisdale’s (2010) discussion of modern conceptions of water refutes a highly influential thought experiment that the meaning of water is largely a matter of reference to the world rather than mental representation. Putnam (1975) invited people to consider a planet, Twin Earth, that is a near duplicate of our own. The only difference is that on Twin Earth water is a more complicated substance XYZ rather than H2O. Water on Twin Earth is imagined to be indistinguishable from H2O, so people have the same mental representation of it. Nevertheless, according to Putnam, the meaning of the concept water on Twin Earth is different because it refers to XYZ rather than H2O. Putnam’s famous conclusion is that “meaning just ain’t in the head.”
The apparent conceivability of Twin Earth as identical to Earth except for the different constitution of water depends on ignorance of chemistry. As Grisdale (2010) documents, even a slight change in the chemical constitution of water produces dramatic changes in its effects. If normal hydrogen is replaced by different isotopes, deuterium or tritium, the water molecule markedly changes its chemical properties. Life would be impossible if H2O were replaced by heavy water, D2O or T2O; and compounds made of elements different from hydrogen and oxygen would be even more different in their properties. Hence Putnam’s thought experiment is scientifically incoherent: If water were not H2O, Twin Earth would not be at all like Earth. [See also Universal Fire. --Luke]
This incoherence should serve as a warning to philosophers who try to base theories on thought experiments, a practice I have criticized in relation to concepts of mind (Thagard, 2010a, ch. 2). Some philosophers have thought that the nonmaterial nature of consciousness is shown by their ability to imagine beings (zombies) who are physically just like people but who lack consciousness. It is entirely likely, however, that once the brain mechanisms that produce consciousness are better understood, it will become clear that zombies are as fanciful as Putnam’s XYZ. Just as imagining that water is XYZ is a sign only of ignorance of chemistry, imagining that consciousness is nonbiological may well turn out to reveal ignorance rather than some profound conceptual truth about the nature of mind. Of course, the hypothesis that consciousness is a brain process is not part of most people’s everyday concept of consciousness, but psychological concepts can progress just like ones in physics and chemistry. [See also the Zombies Sequence. --Luke]
Ok. You are talking about Omega constantly intervening to make things behave as they do in our universe. But in that case, what is the sense in which XYZ is not, in fact, H2O? How do the twin-universe people know that it is in fact XeYZn? Indeed, how do we know that our H2O isn't, in fact, XeYZn? It looks to me like you've reinvented the invisible, non-breathing, permeable-to-flour dragon, and are asserting its reality. Is there a test which shows water to be XeYZn? Then in that respect it does not act like our water. Is there no such test? Then in what sense is it different from H2O?
In order for everything to work exactly the same, there essentially would have to be water, since physics would have to figure out what water could do. That being said, it could just be similar. If it models how XeYZn should behave approximately, subtracts that from how XeYZn actually behaves, and adds how H2O should behave approximately, and has some force to hold the XeYZn together, you'd have to model XeYZn to predict the future.
Come to think of it, it would probably be more accurate to say that water is made of physics at this point, since it's really more about how physics are acting crazy at that point than it is about the arrangement of protons, neutrons, and electrons. In any case, it's not H2O.