The other day I discussed how high monitoring costs can explain the emergence of “aristocratic” systems of governance:

Aristocracy and Hostage Capital

Arjun Panickssery · Jan 8
There's a conventional narrative by which the pre-20th century aristocracy was the "old corruption" where civil and military positions were distributed inefficiently due to nepotism until the system was replaced by a professional civil service after more enlightened thinkers prevailed ...

An element of Douglas Allen’s argument that I didn’t expand on was the British Navy. He has a separate paper called “The British Navy Rules” that goes into more detail on why he thinks institutional incentives made them successful from 1670 and 1827 (i.e. for most of the age of fighting sail).

In the Seven Years’ War (1756–1763) the British had a 7-to-1 casualty difference in single-ship actions. During the French Revolutionary and Napoleonic Wars (1793–1815) the British had a 5-to-1 difference in captured/destroyed ships, and a 30-to-1 difference for ships of the line—the largest and most powerful ships. By the 1800s, contemporary accounts expected British ships to defeat opponents that had 50% greater gunpower and crew.

Allen cites evidence that this dominance wasn’t because of superior technology and that French ships were even marginally superior by the end of the Seven Years’ War. There wasn’t any substantial difference in gunnery or other equipment, and any new technology was quickly adopted by every navy.

Similar to the previous post, we see a dynamic where

  1. Monitoring is difficult: The sea was big and sometimes unmapped; communication was slow and limited.
  2. There was a large random element: Wind and storms are often plausible excuses for not achieving specific objectives.
  3. Incentives were misaligned: Captains mostly profited from capturing wealthy merchant ships and receiving a share of the spoils. In battle, the captain’s position on the raised quarterdeck made him vulnerable (Nelson was killed by a French sniper at Trafalgar on the quarterdeck of the HMS Victory).

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The last point was most important: all navies in this period had a problem of captains and admirals who would shirk from combat. At Trafalgar, a third of the French fleet didn’t engage in the battle at all. Ships could often blame wind or chance for their failure to engage the enemy. Consider the prelude to Trafalgar:

One of the more famous episodes of this sort was Nelson’s pursuit of the combined French and Spanish fleet. The combined fleet managed to escape a blockade of the French Mediterranean port of Toulon in March 1805. Nelson, thinking they were headed for Egypt, went East. On realizing his mistake, he crossed the Atlantic, searched the Caribbean, and then crossed back to Europe. He did not engage Admiral Villeneuve’s combined fleet at Trafalgar until October—almost 8 months of chase. Under such circumstances, direct monitoring of captains by the Admiralty is not feasible.

The British Navy was designed at multiple levels to encourage captains to fight:

Compensation: In addition to huge prizes—capturing a merchant vessel could make a captain wealthy for life—there was a wage system where officers were oversupplied and naval officers that weren’t at sea were kept at half pay. The unemployment pool that resulted from this efficiency wage made it easier to discipline officers by moving them back to the captains list. (Allen argues that a fixed-wage system would have led to adverse selection since captains on half pay weren’t permanently employees of the navy but would reject commissions that weren’t remunerative.)

Promotion: Unlike in the army, where commissions were purchased, promotion was guaranteed by seniority for anyone who reached the rank of captain. If a captain lived long enough without disgrace, he would eventually become an admiral of the fleet. A lieutenant assigned to a ship might never be promoted to captain, but also couldn’t be removed by the captain of his ship. Allen claims that this relationship was important because lieutenants were required to keep detailed logs of the ship’s activities that could be cross-referenced with the logs of the ship’s master (the highest-ranking non-commissioned officer, who also couldn’t be removed by the captain). These logs would serve a “watchdog” role that monitored a captain’s performance.

Battle Tactics: Here Allen brings up two points. First was the “line of battle” formation in which ships literally lined up to match with opponents. While this formation had the weird property that battle could only easily take place if the enemy also formed a line of battle, it had the advantage of making it easy for the admiral—usually in the center of the line—to monitor the conduct of other captains. The second rule was to “capture the weather gauge,” i.e. to stay upwind of the enemy. This was technically inferior since the lower gun ports could often be underwater (see image) and because the downwind (leeward) position made it easier to flee if needed. But the advantage of taking the weather gauge was that captains of square-rigged ships from that period typically couldn’t sail except toward the enemy.

The strategy of taking the weather gauge in particular was not adopted by other navies and the French military theorists deliberately took the opposite strategy of staying in the downward position and shooting into the masts and rigging of enemy ships. But this made it easier for captains to shirk, as in the Trafalgar example above.

The Articles of War mandated engagement with any enemy ship roughly the same size as one’s own. It was taken seriously and often mandated the death penalty (emphasis mine):

10. Every flag officer, captain and commander in the fleet, who, upon signal or order of fight, or sight of any ship or ships which it may be his duty to engage, or who, upon likelihood of engagement, shall not make the necessary preparations for fight, and shall not in his own person, and according to his place, encourage the inferior officers and men to fight courageously, shall suffer death, or such other punishment, as from the nature and degree of the offence a court martial shall deem him to deserve; and if any person in the fleet shall treacherously or cowardly yield or cry for quarter, every person so offending, and being convicted thereof by the sentence of a court martial, shall suffer death.

12. Every person in the fleet, who through cowardice, negligence, or disaffection, shall in time of action withdraw or keep back, or not come into the fight or engagement, or shall not do his utmost to take or destroy every ship which it shall be his duty to engage, and to assist and relieve all and every of His Majesty's ships, or those of his allies, which it shall be his duty to assist and relieve, every such person so offending, and being convicted thereof by the sentence of a court martial, shall suffer death.

The most famous application of these laws was at the start of the Seven Years’ War where Admiral Byng returned to England from the Balearic Islands in the Mediterranean rather than seek local repairs after French ships damaged the sails of his fleet. (Note that this description of events from Allen contradicts Byng’s Wikipedia page, which claims that Byng departed to Gibraltar and then was relieved by an incoming ship from England, though the relevant sections say “citation needed”). Byng was court-martialed and sentenced to death for failing to “do his utmost” and was shot after the king declined a request for clemency from the First Lord of the Admiralty and the Prime Minister.

The introduction of steam ships in the 19th century ended most of these practices, including the harsh Articles of War, which were replaced by the Naval Discipline Acts of the 1860s. In the same decade, the discontinuous promotion system involving lieutenants was phased out. Again we see the relevance of monitoring ability to institutional design.

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[-]Neil 4332

I like object-level posts that also aren't about AI. They're a minority on LW now, so they feel like high signals in a sea of noise. (That doesn't mean they're necessarily more signally, just that the rarity makes it seem that way to me.)

Agreed, and I wish there were a filter on the top page to browse non-AI content, as I am less interested in singularity speculation.

You can already do this! Just switch this from default to hidden according to the whim of the moment.

 

A good summary, but it's worth noting that while the death penalty for failing to fight was on the books, Byng's execution was the only time it was ever actually carried out. It's a bit similar to how the US military legally has the authority to execute deserters, but in the past century has only ever exercised this once out of tens of thousand of sentences (Eddie Slovak during WWII).

From reading the autobiography of Lord Cochrane, an insanely aggressive and insanely successful captain during the Napoleonic Wars, my impression is that the Royal Navy was very concerned with the allocation of credit, glory, and prestige, as well as money prizes. He describes a system where officers are writing to the Admiralty headquarters to describe the meritorious or shameful actions of their peers and subordinates after every major action, and sometimes convoked courts martial to resolve disputes, as in the case of Lord Cochrane's rival Lord Gambier. Lord Cochrane also argues that the prize system is critical to maintaining the Royal Navy's morale and effectiveness.

[-]Ruby125

Curated. I don't think we're past the point where exposition of how incentives and information flows shape things is valuables. The default lens we/society thinks in terms of is raw power (bigger/stronger/whatever) being the reason for supremacy, and it just feels very instructive to say that just as decisive in how things go is information and motivation. Relatedly, you get things like some places flourishing and some floundering because of different regulatory environments, Goodhart's. In general, kudos to Arjun for writing that exposes how maybe the actual reason for things isn't what you'd immediately assume, e.g. perhaps it's just population size.

I did not realize the death penalty for captains failing to engage was the proper context for Horatio Nelson's immortal signal " England expects that every man will do his duty

I don't think this is accurate, famously Nelson originally wanted the signal to read "England confides [is confident] that every man will do his duty" - a much more motivating message that says to all hands that Nelson (and the Nation) has every confidence in them. 

 

His flag steward pointed out that they didn't have a shorthand signal for "confides", but did have one for "expects"; which would simplify the flag signal significantly. Rather than  having the flag signal laboriously spell out every letter of C-O-N-F-I-D-E-S, Nelson instead ran up "Expects". 

 

The unemployment pool that resulted from this efficiency wage made it easier to discipline officers by moving them back to the captains list.

I don't understand this point or how it explains captains' willingness to fight.

That part encourages captains to avoid shirking in general (rather than to use aggressive tactics in particular) because it increases the costs of job loss (due to high compensation) and because there are captains in reserve that can replace them quickly.

Another factor often overlooked is that the British had a far deeper pool of experienced sailors to draw upon, due to their vast and far-flung mercantile empire and the associated merchant fleets that supported it.

The British navy was allowed to tap into these manpower reserves freely via impressment and utilized that power extensively during the Napoleonic Wars.

While you hear a lot about gunnery, sailing these square-rigged behemoths effectively and in unison was not a small feat and was just as important for winning battles, if not more so, than gunnery. 

The French had nothing equivalent; the only other power that came close was the Dutch, who, unsurprisingly, fared considerably better in their 17th-century conflicts with the British than the French.   

What you are describing as the "aristocratic system," I think better called the Feudal arrangements, continued later into the industrial period most famously in the American South, where large estates were becoming increasingly economically viable with the combination of slave labor and mechanized processing of cotton. Some old world cultural expressions of medieval chivalry not only had persisted there but were becoming more popular, with a craze for dueling, a deadly menace mentioned repeatedly in the press. In spite of the aristocratic cultural vigor and highly militarized aristocracy, the Confederacy never had much of a chance against the industrial, logistical and numerical advantage of the Union, and indeed, the superior communication lines available by telegraph.

During the period discussed in your post the British were not significantly culturally different from other European competitors for me to put great faith in the argument that this gave them more success at sea, at least against other Europeans. Throughout the age of sail the British generally maintained a significantly larger and more effective fleet than the French or indeed any of their competitors and so always benefited from making more aggressive action. When you have all the chips at the table that's just how the game goes. Additionally, the British held a few key technological advantages in the velocity of their artillery projectiles and in the chronometer, an extremely sophisticated device which was designed to keep navigationally accurate track of time while in the heaviest seas and through earth's varying gravity. Arguably the chronometer was the greatest advantage the British ever obtained, considering knowledge of one's longitude is important to exercising sea power. Indeed, this is the era in which communication and navigation has already become quite reliable.

On the one hand it's true that relevant information and communication gives powerful force-multiplying advantages. On the other hand, it's not true that a warrior culture with some equivalent to the Articles of War is in itself advantaged in any way from more desultory strategies.

In the Hornblower series of novels, at one point Captain Hornblower surrenders to the enemy during a naval battle. He is captured by the French, but later escapes. When he gets home, he's put on trial for surrendering. They finally acquit him when it is revealed that he had lost something like half (maybe two-thirds?) of his crew—basically massive casualties. But surrendering was considered guilty until proven innocent.

If you lost your command you automatically faced a court-martial, same today. If it was found that you had done everything expected of you than you were exonerated.

A strong navy was essential for Britain's survival so the Royal Navy got vast resources whereas the army was not essential so received the leavings both in money and manpower. For the French it was the opposite. 

The French navy shot itself in the foot by purging competent aristocratic or politically-suspect officers during the revolution and it never really recovered from this. Being cooped up in port under blockade year after year seriously degraded the quality of their crews whereas Royal Navy crews were often at sea for years on end becoming masters of their craft.

An original perspective on the question. But if I'm not mistaken, the British navy's budget was generally the largest among European countries throughout this period, as was the number of vessels. The colonial empire was also immense, which must have conferred a strategic advantage (more allied ports from which to project power against the enemy or to retreat to). It's difficult to disentangle the various factors, but as Stalin reportedly said, 'How many tanks?' Here, 'How many ships?'

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