1 min read

3

This is a special post for quick takes by Adam B. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.

New to LessWrong?

3 comments, sorted by Click to highlight new comments since:

Predict your 2025: a website for recording probabilistic forecasts about your life and the world in the next year.

How does this work? I can't see any screenshots or videos that show the website interface.

Here's what the question creation interface looks like – you can create any question, and there's a bunch of suggestions to help you get started:

 

Here's what it looks like when you've created some questions. I made these predictions with my partner, so you can see her predictions on the question that's expanded:

 

For more info, I'd suggest just using the website itself. It is designed to be super easy to use and self-describing!

The website is part of Fatebook, a tool for rapidly tracking predictions. Predict Your Year is a specialised page for creating yearly predictions (which is a popular activity for many people, e.g. inspired by Scott Alexander's annual prediction posts). You can read more about Fatebook in this LessWrong post.