It is common to look at modern Christianity, covering 1/3 of the population of the world and ask why it won, and, in particular, to compare it Judaism and attribute the difference to Paul. But this misses the fact that Judaism was once a successful meme. Paul was not the first Jew to suggest that converts didn't need to be circumcised. At peak, Jews were 10% of the population of the Roman Empire, about the same level as Christianity at the time of the lucky break of Constantine's conversion. We cannot tell, based on one run through history, which was the superior meme.
Since Judaism spread a lot without Paul, perhaps his innovations were not so important. Moreover, he may have made important innovations without noticing and recording them. On the other hand, if he was copying best practices from proselytizing Judaism, perhaps he is a good source of information about memetic fitness.
2000 years later, Judaism does not proselytize. Christianity and Islam have also changed and I am nervous about drawing too many conclusions from their origins.
The idea that Christianity was born under a foreign military occupation and had to compromise with it & Islam didn't and went on to make it's own empire is correct.
But the author's assertion that Islam can be nothing but theocratic -"it lacks separation of church and state"- is far from accurate. In the first place, the first Muslim civil war was fought over the question of whether government was secular (Sunni's) or theocratic (Shi'a) and was resolved in favor of the secular side. The fact that the overwhelming majority of Muslims past and present theoretically & practically confirm secular over theocratic government is not a minor footnote, the author paints with a very wide stroke here.
Muslims did have institutions besides the basic Caliphate structure, in fact the Arabs borrowed quite heavily from the Roman/Byzantine tradition in the early (Umayyad) years, going on to absorb the Sassanid modes of government in latter (Abbasid) times. Successive Muslim kingdoms and empires mixed and merged those traditions with their own according to their specific tradition (Turkish, Berber etc) well enough to rule over vast swathes of the old world and their numerous peoples and traditions for well over a millennium, continuing to this day. So the claim that "Islam" lacked/s institutional ingenuity/flexibility is moot. All 'civilizations' have up and down periods, history is not so simple as to be explained from first principles yet.
He makes another inaccurate assertion; that Europeans left the Middle Easterners and co. in the dust because of "separation of church and state".
The advancements in science and technology the Europeans used to gain an edge with weren't hindered by the church by the sixteenth century or thereabout when the Ottomans began receding. In fact some of those discoveries were made by men of the church in the first place. My point being; church and state as in "political and religious power lying in separate hands" isn't what gave the Europeans an advantage, my own opinion is that geographic and ethnic factors played that role but that's a post of it's own so I'll stop here.
As an exercise, does "give unto Ceaser ..." explain why say, the Chinese succumbed (Unequal Treaties, Opium Wars)? Does democracy? The United Kingdom is both a democracy and fairly prosperous, but current china is an authoritarian 'People's Republic' and seems poised to be even more prosperous. Yes there are differences in scale but then wasn't Qing China -the guys who lost the Opium Wars- much larger and more populous than the British Isles back then too? Whatever it was that made the British beat the Chinese back then or makes China ascend so quickly today as to leave All of Europe combined let alone the UK in its dust, it's clear that simplistic answers like "Separation of Church and State" or "Favorite Ideology" are not sufficient if you want to say something meaningful about history.
As an exercise, does "give unto Ceaser ..." explain why say, the Chinese succumbed (Unequal Treaties, Opium Wars)?
China had in a sense the opposite problem from the Islamic world, no concept of a legitimate institution independent of the central government.
Whatever it was that made the British beat the Chinese back then or makes China ascend so quickly today as to leave All of Europe combined let alone the UK in its dust,
Careful, 20 years does not a historical trend make. The only reason it appears this way is that a European bubble is in the process of collapsing, whereas China's hasn't yet.
Interesting blog post though the story about Paul seems a bit too neat. Is there anyone here who studied the time period, Christianity and the Bible a lot? If so please comment on the plausibility of this scenario.
Pretty much everything in Acts is bullshit, there's a lot of controversy over Paul's theology, and the Gospels come after a period of considerable intellectual evolution; so I'm inherently distrustful of this sort of textual harmonization. The basic idea that Paul lowered the barriers to entry is of course solid but also frankly uninteresting (although that's a subjective judgment.)
Basically.
Historically, most Christians ignored Paul (at least, we don't have any record of any Christians appealing to him as any sort of authority) until around the early/middle of the 2nd century, when Marcion first appealed to Paul as an authority. As it turns out -- since Marcion was a heretic -- Acts of the Apostles was written to counter Marcion and his interpretation of Paul (see Marcion and Luke-Acts.
Marcion's Bible was the first Christian Bible, and it's simple happenstance of proto-Catholics modeling their Bible off of Marcion's model (Paul-obsession, really) that Paul seems to be such an important figure.
This is right and wrong in interesting ways. I won't have time to say much for a while, but thanks for bringing this to my attention.
I'm bolding this just in case you aren't familiar with Ibn Khaldun's theory to emphasise how important this is. I would argue that it is basically correct.
At this point I ask my fellow rationalists to consider. If this was the case, what might decline of 'asabiya look like in modern secular societies if it was happening?
If only people commenting on upheavals in the Middle Eastern world actually knew anything about the Middle East, they might actually make usable predictions. Not that punditry is about predictions anyway.