The paper: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S000349161400102X
Authors: Hans De Raedt, Mikhail I. Katsnelson, Kristel Michielsen
Abstract
It is shown that the basic equations of quantum theory can be obtained from a straightforward application of logical inference to experiments for which there is uncertainty about individual events and for which the frequencies of the observed events are robust with respect to small changes in the conditions under which the experiments are carried out.
There is nothing special about complex numbers in quantum mechanics. You can get rid of them by adding an extra dimension to the Hilbert space.
That doesn't seem true without causing SU(n) to lose its privileged status as the transformation group on quantum states.