Aligned?

I discussed your alleged experience extensively with LLMs. One of the elements that was highlighted by them was the extremely serious nature of these accusations. Apparently, this alleged incident (i.e., the mix-up of the x-ray) is called a never event in hospital terminology. This means it should NEVER happen. There can be very severe legal implications when such events do occur and there is a whole set of responses that the hospital must follow to stay in regulatory compliance. If the hospital does not follow these legally mandated protocols, then they can be de-accredited. I am unsure whether you were fully aware of these implications when you wrote your post.

I think it... (read more)

Labour-replacing AI will shift the relative importance of human v non-human factors of production, which reduces the incentives for society to care about humans while making existing powers more effective and entrenched.

And yet, ... society appears to be caring more about humans.       

And yet, ... existing powers (specifically the state) seem even less effective and entrenched. Open Borders policies are clearly an act of desperation ... while these policies appear to have been broadly rejected by the electorate. The state only opened the borders because of its crumbling power base. 

How is the contradiction resolved? How can technology seemingly reduce the relative importance of human v non human factors of production,... (read more)

1.  I ran your first reply to my comment through Copilot for its assessment. Here is its response:
2. "
3. Timeline for Genetic Engineering:
   • Original Poster’s Claim: “[If we actually even tried to launch a global scale effort to genetically engineer ‘superhumans’ it might take at least 10 years to develop the technology.]”
   • New Poster’s Response: “This is definitely wrong. A global effort to develop this tech could easily bring it to fruition in a couple of years. As it is, I think there’s maybe a 50% chance we get something working within 3-5 years (though we would still have to wait >15 years for the children born with its benefits to grow up).”
   • Assessment: The new poster’s claim

Thank you sunwillrise for your reply!

Yes, I actually agree with your disagreement. The quote was quite provocative.

However, the basic sentiment of my comment would seem to remain intact. If we actually even tried to launch a global scale effort to genetically engineer "superhumans" it might take at least 10 years to develop the technology ... and then it might be argued about for a few years ... and then it would take 20 years for the children of the uplift to develop. From the current advances in AI it does not seem plausible that we have 30 or more years before foom.  

This forum is quite concerned about AI alignment. Aligning superhumans... (read more)

Thank you Daniel for your reply.

The latest delivery count is 5M. That is a fairly substantial ramp up. It means that the double over the 1.5 years from October 2021 --> April 2023 is being maintained in the 1.5 years from Jan 2022 through July 2023 (admittedly with a considerable amount of overlapping time). 

In addition it is quite remarkable as noted above that they have been level 4 autonomous for years now. This is real world data that can help us move towards other level 4 applications. Obviously, when you try and have level 4 cars that move at highway speeds and must interact with humans problems can happen. Yet, when you... (read more)

Why no mention of the level 4 autonomous robobuggies from Starship. These buggies have been exponentially ramping up now for over 10 years and they can make various grocery deliveries without human oversight. Autonomous vehicles have arrived and they are navigating our urban landscapes! There have been many millions of uneventful trips to date. What I find surprising is that some sort of an oversized robobuggy has not been brought out that would allow a person to be transported by them. One could imagine for example, that patrons of bars who had too many drinks to drive home could be wheeled about in these buggies. This could already be done quite safely... (read more)

Personal perspective: psychotic experience truly is an enigma wrapped inside of a riddle. So much complexity involved that rookies would have no idea what was actually going on (even the insiders would largely be unaware of whatever ground truth might exist).

Interestingly, perhaps my clearest memory from that time was thinking that I was playing my most rational strategy to cope with my life as it was. My life was not making sense and escape seemed the best way out.

From the perspective of today that might seem an odd take, though given what I know now it actually was not an entirely bad strategy at all-- perhaps my optimal strategy. How could that... (read 436 more words →)