Body doubling / coworking; this doesn’t work for everyone, but I find that this robustly lowers the activation energy costs and reduces distractions.
I have found that for me a simple pomodoro timer (25min work/5 minute break) fixes a lot of procrastination issues / distractions. It's weird how that little timer can make me focus and make me feel responsible to not let my mind wander.
Thank you! The backstory to this is that I have been confused about how there can be so many fake/scam profiles on social media platforms when it should be very easy to detect them with the AI systems they have in place. Both the profile nancygonzalez8451097 and jeffyoung9385500 are "real". These profiles actually liked one of my photos on Instagram. That gave me the idea to write this story.
The first part of the story is describing what kind of justifications Instagram's anomaly detection systems must have made to accept nancygonzalez8451097 registration and existence. If nancygonzalez8451097 actually existed, what kind of life would she have led that would have matched what she have put in her profile, and this is one possible life (with a lot of strange coincidences and oddities) that she could have led
The second part of the story is how I see a team meeting at Instagram going down, like that Mark need to be completely out of touch with reality (which he probably is not, which is the great paradox here) to let all these fake/scam profiles roam freely on Instagram and not be willing to do anything about it.
I hope my thoughts makes it easier to understand? This is a failure in it self. A story should be able to stand on its own without explanations.
The main reason for developing AI in the first place is to make possible what the headline says: "AI-enabled coups: a small group could use AI to seize power".
AI-enabled coups are a feature, not a bug.
How about the culture in catholic countries were gays are mistreated and that the culture "demand" young men to to find a wife and get married? One way to opt out of marriage and condemnation for being gay, with your honor intact and that you do not have to reveal your preferences, is to go into priesthood.
Yes, sometimes they are slow, other times they are fast. A private effort to build a nuke or go to the moon in the time frames they did would not have been possible. AFAIK the assumption that Chinese AI development is government directed everyone agrees to, but for some very strange reason people like to think that US AI is directed by a group of quirky nerds that wants to save the world and just happens to get their hands on a MASSIVE amount of compute (worth billions upon billions of dollars). Imagine when the government gets to hear what these nerds are up to in a couple of years...
IF there is any truth to how important the race to AGI/ASI is to win.
THEN governments are the key-players in those races.
News of the new models percolates slowly through the US government and beyond.
Well fleshed out scenario, but this kind of assumption is always a dealbreaker for me.
Why would the government not be aware of the development of the mightiest technology and weapon ever created if "we" are aware of it?
Could you please elaborate why you choose to go for the "stupid and uninformed government", instead of the more plausible scenario where the government actually knows exactly what is going on in every step of the process and is the driving force behind it?
For the majority of human history we lived in a production market for food. We searched for that which tasted well but there was never enough to fill the void. Only the truly elite could afford to import enough food to reach the point of excess.
Humanity ~300.000 years. Agriculture ~12.000 years. We have been hunters and gathers for the vast majority of human history.
Yes, but as I wrote in the answer to habryka (see below), I am not talking about the present moment. I am concerned with the (near) future. With the break neck speed at which AI is moving it wont be long until it will be hopeless to figure out if its AI generated or not.
So my point and rhetorical question is this: AI is not going to go away. Everyone(!) will use it, all day every day. So instead of trying to come up with arbitrary formulas for how much AI generated content a post can or cannot contain, how can we use AI to the absolute limit to increase the quality of posts and make Lesswrong even better than it already is?!
Maybe. If you can use your phone to take photos of soil samples for image analysis paired with data which crop you intent to grow and weather data, why would it be far fetched to assume that an AI could give not you good advice on irrigation and fertilizers etc via text messages?