Not an American but support Trump from afar. Genuine curiosity here - if you were to steelman the rational Trump supporter, what would you say? (happy for pushback in the ensuing discussion).
Or in other words, 'let's meet halfway'.
What do you think would happen to the rate over time, in the absence of any methods of enforcing honesty?
Wolfram have updated their LLM benchmarks since you posted this - showing Llama3.1-405b-instruct at #1 place.
Agree, I don't follow the logic from step 1 → step 2 either - it seems obviously nonsensical. Maybe there are a few intermediate steps missing that show the chain of logic more clearly?
If you've played around with Auto-GPT, you'll notice that it's not very capable and it's very very hard to get it to do what you want... continually diving off into tangents or getting stuck in "do_nothing" loops.
I think the exact opposite (though I appreciate your responses and upvoted).
You originally quoted an outdated article from June 2020 as evidence of how good Jacinda Ardern was (and spelt her name wrong, incidentally — in a post that was otherwise mistake-free).
Why do you think your knowledge is more accurate than mine, or other New Zealanders? That's a very arrogant claim to make!
You could make the case that NZ is blinded by personality politics and dislikes Ardern on that basis, but you'd first have to make the case that Ardern was an effective leader of the country, using more than an article written only 3 months after Covid started.
Here's a statistic: Ardern was elected in 2018, and a major policy was Kiwibuild: build 100,000 houses by 2028 (10,000 per year). In May 2021 (latest numbers I can find) the total built was 1,058. It's rumoured that most of these were bought from private developers to boost the numbers.
Were you aware of this (the lack of execution on own policies)? What basis did you use to judge that Ardern had done an excellent job, other than running with your preconceived notions/finding evidence to confirm your current opinion?
Ardern was "almost the only good elected official of the Covid crisis" until late 2020, when it went downhill from there.
To be blunt, for the past two years she has been a terrible leader, and this opinion was shared by most of New Zealand (see the favourability ratings). Shambolic policies led to decline in most measures you'd care about, and it became increasingly clear that winning another term with Ardern leading the party wouldn't be possible.
I guess this is to say that picking Jacinda Ardern as an example of "some of the very best leaders" is misguided, and weakens the point for anyone who is aware of the state of NZ post-2020.
International media tended to depict her favourably, but I don't think it was due to ideological bias — she is a good speaker, a great statesperson and was excellent at depicting New Zealand internationally.
Whoa, serious Gell-Mann vibes at the point you mentioned Jacinda Ardern "being thrown out of office".
Jacinda Ardern resigned voluntarily. At the time, her net favourability was -1%, down from a high of +32%.
Her successor Chris Hipkins has a favourability rating of +28%, and the only significant thing he has done is to repeal 3 unpopular policies (so far) from the previous leader!
Excellent review. This is an area that I've been thinking about, but don't know enough about the tech to make a start in a small way.
There's a company in NZ that takes an interesting approach to solar - Supa, https://www.supa.energy/ (not affiliated in any way).
Ignore all the marketing fluff on the website, how it essentially works is:
Supa approaches companies with large buildings, and gets them to install solar panels + batteries. These are dramatically over-provisioned, they install much more than the company uses
The company buys the solar panels and batteries through a 10-year programme of monthly payments through a finance company, and Supa repays the company monthly for all costs - capital and interest. At the end of 10 years, the company owns the equipment.
Supa arranges and pays for installation, and they manage the energy ongoing. With this, they charge the batteries from the sun (free) and overnight (when prices are lower), and:
The company gets solar, and cheaper electricity with no down payment. Supa gets locations all over the country generating power for them, without having to buy land or build solar farms. The households get cheaper power.
The factors that seem to make this work are (a) NZ's screwed-up electricity supply - prices are volatile and have risen a lot lately, leading some electricity-intensive businesses to shut down, and (b) cheaper to distribute power generation and storage throughout the country, than to generate in one place and deal with the high costs of upgrading transformers and surrounding infrastructure to support it.
We may see a rise in this - companies using financial engineering to increase uptake, rather than households running the numbers and investing directly.