CharlieMarr@protonmail.com
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CharlieMarr@protonmail.com has not written any posts yet.
CharlieMarr@protonmail.com has not written any posts yet.
How does the "vaccine design just isn't that hard" align with these points?
a) Average time to develop a vaccine for a new virus is many years
b) There is still no HIV vaccine after 35 years of well-funded research
c) Until a few months ago, there were no approved coronavirus vaccines for humans
I'm prepared to accept that "bureaucracy" is the main cause for the delays in standard big company vaccine development and approval.
But if it's easy to develop vaccines, why has there been no coronavirus vaccine previously? Why is there still no vaccine for SARS 1 or MERS or the common cold? Why was this Radvac idea or something similar not rolled out pre-Covid? (or was it? maybe nasal vaccines are easier?)
Anyway, I'm just stuck on the logical conflict between "it's easy to develop a coronavirus vaccine" and "we've never had one (approved) before." Any thoughts?
This seems like a cool and interesting experiment, and it seems rational from a "zoomed-in" perspective. i.e. "if I'm going to get vaccinated, I might as well do it myself, nasally, with fewer ingredients....the potential benefits are greater than the costs. Especially when considering adjacent benefits like learning, being a trailblazer, potentially advancing knowledge, etc."
But if you "zoom out" and take a broader view of the whole Covid phenomenon, it seems like you may be (irrationally?) accepting a number of big assumptions before beginning your cost-benefit analysis. It seems that you may be assuming some subset of the points below:
a) You face significant risks from Covid-19 even though you are not... (read more)
Thank you so much for your great answers.
I have one follow-up question for you.
I really liked/enjoyed your logic on why you decided to make your own vaccine. You seem like a highly rational guy, and because of that, I find myself curious about your logic on the preceding decision--the decision that you would take a brand-new Covid-19 vaccine, and soon, from, say, Pfizer.
Most people are eager to get that vaccine, but most people are not rationalists. I'm curious about the logic an intelligent and skeptical rationalist used to decide he'd take a new Pfizer vaccine.
I'm curious about how you came to the conclusion that a new vaccine would be way better... (read more)