Subject: On practical machine learning, taking you from the 101 to being aware of practical edge cases before using in business settings. The parts of MLE you wouldn’t get from coding tutorials or math.
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Over
Machine Learning Engineering by Andriy Burkov. Not quite as full or well written as Huyen’s, but did cover slightly different topics (eg al
You give the constraints of the middle class worried they'll slip down, not the poorest Americans directly. If 12% of Americans live in poverty, then the example concerns are those of the 12-50th percentiles. You say the lumpen-proletariat will always exist, but prove that the lives of the proletariat won't improve much.
"credentialist colleges that raise their prices to capture more and more of the returns to the credential, until huge portions of the former middle class's early-life earnings" - Explicitly not the poorest.
"Like working 60...
"the addicted mind will find a way to rationalize continued use at all costs"
Alan Carr wrote a series of books: "The easy way to quit X". I picked up one since I figured he had found a process to cure addictive behaviors if he could write across so many categories. I highly recommend it. The main points are:
I found that installing 3 website blockers at once on my laptop worked for me: the same way you use multiple anti-biotics at once to combat resistance. I might’ve trained myself to disable 1, then disable 2, then disable 3 if I added another whenever I realized the blocking wasn’t working: but by adding all 3 at once I wasn’t going to unblock all 3. Now it’s been long enough I’ve probably forgotten what I’d even need to do to unblock it.
The one thing the duality section was connected to was Riesz representation theorem. Riesz states every finite linear functional φ has a unique vector f, such that for all v, φ(v) = <v,f>. It gives an isomorphism from functionals to vectors for a given norm, as the function is just multiplication with the vector.
It's not tied to the section on duals in the text, but the section on duals lets you appreciate the result more.
The converse of fast paced conversations leading people to say stupid things is: if someone says something foolish it maybe not be a lie nor a tendency to BS nor stupidity. They may have responded faster than they thought. You can correct them not by refuting what was said but allowing them a moment to reconsider. A liar, politician, and fool are hard to reform or work with. “Stopping to think” may be easier trained and much easier used to keep a conversation on track.
The 2000-2021 VIX has averaged 19.7, sp500 annualized vol 18.1.
From a 2ndary source: "The mean of the realistic volatility risk premium since 2000 has been 11% of implied volatility, with a standard deviation of roughly 15%-points" from https://www.sr-sv.com/realistic-volatility-risk-premia/ . So 1/3 of the time the premia is outside [-4%,26%], which swamps a lot of vix info about true expect vol.
-60% would the worst draw down ever, the prior should be <<1%. However, 8 years have been above 30% since 1928 (9%), seems you're using a non-symetric CI.
Th...
Options Nitpick: You can't use equity index* option prices as true probabilities because adding hedges to a portfolio makes the whole portfolio more valuable. People then buy options based on their value when added to the portfolio, not as individual investments.
The first reason option hedges make your portfolio more valuable is preferences: people don't just want to maximize their expected return, but also reduce the chance they go broke. People don't like risk and hedges reduce risk, ergo they pay more to get rid of risk. However you can't just subtract ...
This would be useful as a comment on https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xg3hXCYQPJkwHyik2/the-best-textbooks-on-every-subject, not sure of best way to update existing lists though.
new design without the quote looks fine.
I seem to be having a bug though/ironically am not able to solve it; I got the matrix that is F9 here https://www.dbglab.ru/en/slovar-dannykh/61/130/ (answer is 5)
My function f(x) = 5x³ + 14x² + 8x + 20 -> f'(x) + x = 15x² + 28x + 8 + x = 528 is being marked incorrect.
No, it's lower than the normal "8%" you hear because I'm not averaging across time.
[+10%, + 1%, +9%, +20%, 15%] = 9% if you average the percentages, but this represents putting in $100 at the start of each year and selling any excess gains at year end. The way people invest of putting in $100 once and letting it compound* gives
1.1*1.01*1.09*1.2*1.15 = 1.6711662 total gain or
1.6711662^(1/5) = 10.8% annualized.
The technical terms for this is non-ergodic see https://jasoncollins.blog/ergodicity-economics-a-primer/ for a descripti...
It seems deluk is investing with Bitfinex (blocked in US), which has lots of ongoing issues; see Patrick McKenzie on why the whole thing is a fraud that is down several hundred million and is likely to seize accounts https://www.kalzumeus.com/2019/10/28/tether-and-bitfinex/ .
IIRC some individual investors in Binance (also supposed to be blocked for US investors) were being targeted for investigation by CFTC; there's an aspect of lending that lead to Know Your Customer violations (very hazy on specifics).
A legal way to put on this trade is to short Mi...
That's a very selective term history; the exact bottom of the SP500 from Covid fear was March 20 2020, vs todays March 18th. Unless you put in everything on March 18th this is highly misleading. The true comparison would be your annualized dollar weighted average return (but for Schwab at least this isn't easily calculatable, as saving is counted as increasing portfolio weight, and buying increases the base investment, but without a proportional change in 'Total gain').
Since 2000 the average annual return of the SP-500 is 5.9%(6.1% for VTI since inception) and a reasonable approximation of what would be earned going forward.
There's a similar pattern in Rap music, the misanthropic self promotion. The message of basically every lyric is either "I'm super successful" or "I know no bounds in what I will do"; either case has the listener emphasize with the sentiment of being better than others/not caring about others. I stopped listening when I noticed the avarice it was promoting, how I could only fantasize about being a $MM success, which not having a path to improve toward just gives the fantasy of becoming $MM.
EDIT: NVM. This is just proof I didn't get enough neonatal iodine.
For Section 2 on transaction costs you write the calculation for probability of winning is:
100 / ( ( ( 100 / 0.40 ) * 0.9 ) + 10 )
Where does the extra +10 come from?
EDIT: It's so that you're not paying taxes on the amount of the original wager.
maximum_%_bet_on_P = bet_amount / (conditional_winnings - fees )
= bet_amount / (conditional_winnings(1-fee%) + bet_amount*fee%))
I think you're asking the VLLM to do too much in a single call.
I was trying to get the VLLM to extract GD&T data from the NIST standardized renders of ASME Y14 tolerancing standards (eg. screenshotting 1 page at a time from https://www.nist.gov/system/files/documents/noindex/2022/04/06/nist_ftc_06_asme1_rd.pdf ).
Asking "List all GD&T and their matching element IDs" would totally fail, but would start to be reasonably when I only asked for 5-8 specific element ids at a time, and asking for the data of a single element id at a time with f... (read more)