Announcing the results of a 2024 survey by Convergence Analysis. We’ve just posted the executive summary below, but you can read the full report here.
In the largest survey of its kind, Convergence Analysis surveyed 2,779 malicious actors on how they would misuse AI to catastrophic ends.
In previous work, we’ve explored the difficulty of forecasting AI risk. Existing attempts rely almost exclusively on data from AI experts and professional forecasters. As a result, the perspectives of perhaps the most important actors in AI risk – malicious actors – are underrepresented in current AI safety discourse. This report aims to fill that gap.
Methodology
We selected malicious actors based on whether they would hypothetically end up in "the bad place"... (read 237 more words →)